Saturday, July 21, 2007

BUT DAMN # 624: WHAT DOES MIAMI'S OVERBUILT MARKET MEAN FOR THE REST OF THE COUNTRY?


We're in the middle of the biggest glut of condominiums in more than 30 years,
But Damn...
Miami developers keep on building

With oversupply forcing prices down as much as 30 percent -- the worst decline since the 1970s -- why isn't anyone doing anything about the construction that keeps going, and going, and going in the nation's new "it" city?

"Florida is the epicenter for all the problems that exist in the housing industry,'' said Lewis Goodkin, president of Goodkin Consulting Corp. and a property adviser in Miami for the past 30 years, who also foresees a recession. ``The problems we have now are unprecedented and a lot of people will get burnt.''

Thirty-seven new high-rise condos and 20,000 new units are being built in Miami's 1,040-acre downtown, where sales fell almost 50 percent in May, according to the Florida Association of Realtors. The new units will join the 22,924 existing condos in Miami-Dade County that were for sale in April, according to Jack McCabe, chief executive officer of McCabe Research & Consulting LLC in Deerfield Beach, Florida. That's the most unsold units since McCabe began tracking sales in 2002.

While the housing industry is responsible for 10.6 percent of the nation's jobs, in Florida it accounts for 20 percent, Zandi said. Florida construction jobs fell 2.9 percent in May to 626,200 from the peak in June 2006, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The national housing industry's weakness prompted Federal Reserve policy makers this week to cut their forecasts for U.S. economic growth for the next two years.

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